{"id":23888,"date":"2026-07-12T23:46:04","date_gmt":"2026-07-12T21:46:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kosovatimes.info\/?p=23888"},"modified":"2026-07-12T23:46:07","modified_gmt":"2026-07-12T21:46:07","slug":"si-po-perpiqet-irani-te-imponoje-rendin-e-vet-ne-lindjen-e-mesme","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kosovatimes.info\/index.php\/2026\/07\/12\/si-po-perpiqet-irani-te-imponoje-rendin-e-vet-ne-lindjen-e-mesme\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00a0Si po p\u00ebrpiqet Irani t\u00eb imponoj\u00eb rendin e vet n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

P\u00ebr regjimin iranian, kontrolli absolut i\u00a0Ngushtic\u00ebs s\u00eb Hormuzit<\/a>\u00a0<\/strong>\u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb tani nj\u00eb\u00a0\u00e7\u00ebshtje me r\u00ebnd\u00ebsi jetike<\/strong>\u00a0– duke u renditur\u00a0edhe m\u00eb lart se heqja e<\/strong>\u00a0dhjet\u00ebra miliarda dollar\u00ebve n\u00eb sanksionet amerikane, t\u00eb cilat administrata Trump i ka v\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb tryez\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dhe kjo ndodh sepse, si\u00e7 raporton Wall Street Journal<\/strong> n\u00eb analiz\u00ebn e saj , strategjia e Teheranit ka nj\u00eb horizont afatgjat\u00eb. Pas d\u00ebshtimit t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb dhe Izraelit p\u00ebr t\u00eb arritur objektivat kryesore t\u00eb luft\u00ebs q\u00eb filloi n\u00eb shkurt, zyrtar\u00ebt iranian\u00eb besojn\u00eb se vendi i tyre tani \u00ebsht\u00eb vendosur si fuqia rajonale e padiskutueshme n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\""Pax<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Logjika e tyre \u00ebsht\u00eb e qart\u00eb: p\u00ebr sa koh\u00eb q\u00eb Irani \u201ce mban t\u00eb mbyllur\u201d k\u00ebt\u00eb status quo t\u00eb ri, duke imponuar kushtet e veta t\u00eb p\u00ebrhershme p\u00ebr kontrollin e Ngushtic\u00ebs s\u00eb Hormuzit \u2013 dhe duke fituar k\u00ebshtu dominim mbi ekonomit\u00eb e Gjirit Persik \u2013 \u00e7do gj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr, si\u00e7 \u00ebsht\u00eb leht\u00ebsimi i sanksioneve t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb, do t\u00eb vij\u00eb vetvetiu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cE vetmja m\u00ebnyr\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb t\u00eb njihet rendi i ri iranian n\u00eb Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit\u201d, paralajm\u00ebron Ebrahim Azizi, kreu i komitetit t\u00eb siguris\u00eb komb\u00ebtare t\u00eb parlamentit iranian. \u201cNgushtica do t\u00eb hapet vet\u00ebm sipas \u2018rregullave iraniane\u2019 dhe jo n\u00ebn regjimin e k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimeve amerikane\u201d, thekson kryetari i parlamentit dhe kryenegociatori me SHBA-n\u00eb, Mohammad Bayer Ghalibaf.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cRegjimi i Republik\u00ebs Islamike do t\u00eb b\u00ebhet edhe m\u00eb mafioz. M\u00ebsimi q\u00eb nxori nga lufta \u00ebsht\u00eb se l\u00ebshimet fitohen p\u00ebrmes shantazhit – duke sulmuar fqinj\u00ebt e saj, duke k\u00ebrc\u00ebnuar me mbylljen e Ngushtic\u00ebs s\u00eb Hormuzit dhe duke rritur \u00e7mimet e naft\u00ebs\u201d, tha Karim Shahjadpour, nj\u00eb ekspert p\u00ebr Iranin<\/strong> n\u00eb Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. \u201cAshtu si Rusia e Putinit, Republika Islamike beson se siguria e saj nuk varet nga mir\u00ebqenia e qytetar\u00ebve t\u00eb saj, por nga pasiguria e fqinj\u00ebve t\u00eb saj.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ashtu si Rusia n\u00eb \u201coborrin\u201d e saj, regjimi iranian i konsideron monarkit\u00eb prodhuese t\u00eb naft\u00ebs t\u00eb Gjirit si \u201chap\u00ebsir\u00ebn\u201d e tij natyrore t\u00eb jetes\u00ebs. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb sfer\u00eb ndikimi q\u00eb, sipas Teheranit, Shtetet e Bashkuara ia kan\u00eb privuar q\u00eb nga Revolucioni Islamik i vitit 1979.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Meqen\u00ebse Amerika nuk ka arritur t\u2019i mbroj\u00eb shtetet e Gjirit nga sulmet iraniane, p\u00ebrpjekja e Teheranit p\u00ebr t\u00eb institucionalizuar kontrollin e saj mbi Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit pasqyron nj\u00eb ambicie m\u00eb t\u00eb gjer\u00eb: t\u00eb krijoj\u00eb nj\u00eb \u201cPax Iranica\u201d t\u00eb re n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme<\/strong> . N\u00eb fund t\u00eb fundit, vendet e Gjirit, n\u00eb shkall\u00eb t\u00eb ndryshme, varen nga ky kalim jo vet\u00ebm p\u00ebr eksportet e naft\u00ebs dhe gazit, por edhe p\u00ebr rrjedh\u00ebn e furnizimeve kritike, nga mallrat e konsumit deri te ushqimi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Shenjat e para t\u00eb k\u00ebtij ekuilibri t\u00eb ri pushteti ishin qart\u00eb t\u00eb dukshme n\u00eb Teheran gjat\u00eb funeralit t\u00eb fundit t\u00eb Udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsit Suprem Ali Khamenei. N\u00eb ceremoni mor\u00ebn pjes\u00eb zyrtar\u00eb nga tre nga gjasht\u00eb shtetet e Gjirit t\u00eb sh\u00ebnjestruara nga raketat dhe dron\u00ebt iranian\u00eb pranver\u00ebn e kaluar: Arabia Saudite, Katari dhe Omani.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb fakt, delegacioni saudit u detyrua t\u00eb shihte leximin e nj\u00eb vargu nga Kurani q\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00eb rajon e interpretuan si nj\u00eb “fyerje t\u00eb synuar”. Vargu fliste p\u00ebr betej\u00ebn midis jobesimtar\u00ebve dhe atyre q\u00eb g\u00ebzojn\u00eb favorin hyjnor, duke n\u00ebnkuptuar qart\u00eb se saudit\u00ebt i p\u00ebrkasin kategoris\u00eb s\u00eb par\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAta e kan\u00eb kuptuar se po p\u00ebrballen me realitetin e ashp\u00ebr t\u00eb gjeografis\u00eb. Republika Islamike \u00ebsht\u00eb ende aty, Donald Trump nuk do t\u00eb jet\u00eb p\u00ebrgjithmon\u00eb n\u00eb Sht\u00ebpin\u00eb e Bardh\u00eb<\/strong> dhe ata vet\u00eb jan\u00eb t\u00eb detyruar t\u00eb jetojn\u00eb me iranian\u00ebt\u201d, v\u00ebren Raj Zimt, drejtor i programit t\u00eb Iranit n\u00eb Institutin p\u00ebr Studime t\u00eb Siguris\u00eb Komb\u00ebtare n\u00eb Tel Aviv. \u201cAta duhet t\u00eb p\u00ebrballen me realitetin.\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pa “puthjen e jet\u00ebs”<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Gjakderdhja e re n\u00eb rajon e shtyu Uashingtonin t\u00eb hiqte p\u00ebrjashtimin e dh\u00ebn\u00eb nga Departamenti i Thesarit i SHBA-s\u00eb vet\u00ebm muajin e kaluar, i cili lejonte shitjen e naft\u00ebs iraniane n\u00eb tregjet nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare. Ky p\u00ebrjashtim ishte fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr fjal\u00eb “puthja e jet\u00ebs” p\u00ebr ekonomin\u00eb iraniane t\u00eb goditur nga sanksionet, n\u00eb pritje t\u00eb negociatave mbi programin b\u00ebrthamor t\u00eb vendit – i cili ishte gjithashtu preteksti p\u00ebr shp\u00ebrthimin e luft\u00ebs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00ebrplasja e fundit midis SHBA-s\u00eb dhe Iranit u shkaktua kur forcat iraniane sulmuan anijet q\u00eb p\u00ebrpiqeshin t\u00eb kalonin Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit p\u00ebrmes uj\u00ebrave territoriale t\u00eb Omanit, me q\u00ebllim q\u00eb t\u00eb anashkalonin “stacionin e pages\u00ebs” q\u00eb Teherani ka ngritur n\u00eb an\u00ebn e tij.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Teherani i ka mbrojtur veprimet e tij, duke cituar nj\u00eb memorandum mir\u00ebkuptimi q\u00eb n\u00ebnshkroi me administrat\u00ebn Trump muajin e kaluar. Sipas interpretimit iranian, teksti p\u00ebrcakton q\u00eb trafiku detar p\u00ebrmes ngushtic\u00ebs, ndon\u00ebse nuk i n\u00ebnshtrohet tarifave, do t\u00eb kryhet sipas “rregullave iraniane”. Uashingtoni e ka hedhur posht\u00eb kategorikisht k\u00ebt\u00eb interpretim, duke i p\u00ebrshkruar sulmet ndaj anijeve tregtare n\u00eb uj\u00ebrat e Omanit si akte terrorizmi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rr\u00ebnja e k\u00ebtij mosmarr\u00ebveshjeje q\u00ebndron n\u00eb rezultatin e pasigurt t\u00eb luft\u00ebs gjat\u00eb periudh\u00ebs kritike 40-ditore midis shkurtit dhe prillit. “Si Shtetet e Bashkuara ashtu edhe Republika Islamike besojn\u00eb se jan\u00eb fituesit e k\u00ebsaj lufte”, shpjegon Holly Dagres, nj\u00eb bashk\u00ebpun\u00ebtore e lart\u00eb n\u00eb Institutin e Uashingtonit p\u00ebr Politikat e Lindjes s\u00eb Af\u00ebrt. “Arsyeja pse iranian\u00ebt po luajn\u00eb kaq fort tani \u00ebsht\u00eb sepse po p\u00ebrpiqen t\u00eb b\u00ebjn\u00eb presion mbi Presidentin Trump<\/strong> . Ata po p\u00ebrfitojn\u00eb nga fakti se lufta nuk ka mb\u00ebshtetje popullore n\u00eb Shtetet e Bashkuara dhe se bllokada e Ngushtic\u00ebs s\u00eb Hormuzit po e mbyt ekonomin\u00eb globale. Ata po luajn\u00eb me zjarrin pik\u00ebrisht sepse besojn\u00eb se kan\u00eb ep\u00ebrsin\u00eb.”<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Megjithat\u00eb, besimi i Iranit se \u00ebsht\u00eb hegjemoni i ri rajonal \u00ebsht\u00eb larg realitetit. Si\u00e7 thekson Salman Al-Ansari, nj\u00eb analist gjeopolitik saudit, mjafton t\u00eb merret n\u00eb konsiderat\u00eb se sa shum\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb shkat\u00ebrruar ushtria e tij, sa shum\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb dob\u00ebsuar rrjeti i milicive lokale n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme dhe sa shum\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb mbytur ekonomia e tij n\u00eb muajt e fundit. ” T\u00eb vetmet karta q\u00eb i kan\u00eb mbetur jan\u00eb frik\u00ebsimi, pirateria dhe roli i nj\u00eb shkaktari problemesh”,<\/strong> v\u00ebren ai n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb karakteristike. “K\u00ebto nuk jan\u00eb mjetet e nj\u00eb hegjemoni, por t\u00eb nj\u00eb banditi”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ky pretendim mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb i v\u00ebrtet\u00eb, por SHBA-t\u00eb ende nuk kan\u00eb demonstruar se jan\u00eb t\u00eb afta t\u00eb rihapin Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit me forc\u00eb. P\u00ebr momentin, l\u00ebvizjet e reja ushtarake nga t\u00eb dyja pal\u00ebt kan\u00eb qen\u00eb t\u00eb kujdesshme. SHBA-t\u00eb nuk e kan\u00eb synuar Teheranin, nd\u00ebrsa iranian\u00ebt jan\u00eb kufizuar n\u00eb sulme, kryesisht joefektive, kund\u00ebr instalimeve ushtarake amerikane n\u00eb Bahrein, Kuvajt dhe Jordani. N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, ata kan\u00eb shmangur sulmin e p\u00ebrs\u00ebritur ndaj dy shteteve m\u00eb t\u00eb fuqishme t\u00eb Gjirit: Arabis\u00eb Saudite dhe Emirateve t\u00eb Bashkuara Arabe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sigurisht, kjo nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb garanci se situata nuk do t\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsohet n\u00eb jav\u00ebt n\u00eb vijim. \u201c Iranian\u00ebt n\u00eb thelb mendojn\u00eb se Trump nuk d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb kthehet n\u00eb luft\u00eb, k\u00ebshtu q\u00eb do t\u00eb vazhdojn\u00eb ta t\u00ebrheqin k\u00ebmb\u00ebz\u00ebn.<\/strong> Ata kan\u00eb nj\u00eb besim t\u00eb fort\u00eb se ai nuk do t\u2019i sulmoj\u00eb ata masivisht\u201d, thot\u00eb Mark Polymeropoulos, nj\u00eb ish-oficer i lart\u00eb i CIA-s<\/strong> . \u201cPor gj\u00ebrat varen n\u00eb fije. N\u00ebse nj\u00eb nga k\u00ebto sulme nga secila pal\u00eb shkakton viktima masive dhe vriten ushtar\u00eb amerikan\u00eb, Trump do t\u00eb jet\u00eb jasht\u00eb kontrollit. Po flasim p\u00ebr nj\u00eb situat\u00eb me rrezikshm\u00ebri jasht\u00ebzakonisht t\u00eb lart\u00eb.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pamja nd\u00ebrlikohet edhe m\u00eb tej nga fakti se mbetet plot\u00ebsisht e paqart\u00eb se kush po i drejton v\u00ebrtet fijet n\u00eb Teheran. Udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsi i ri suprem, Mojtaba Khamenei, \u00ebsht\u00eb zhdukur – ai nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb shfaqur n\u00eb video, e l\u00ebre m\u00eb personalisht – q\u00eb kur u publikua informacioni se ai ishte plagosur n\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtat sulme q\u00eb vran\u00eb t\u00eb atin n\u00eb shkurt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brenda vendit, fraksione t\u00eb ndryshme t\u00eb linj\u00ebs s\u00eb ashp\u00ebr q\u00eb luftojn\u00eb p\u00ebr pushtet e kan\u00eb d\u00ebnuar memorandumin e mir\u00ebkuptimit me SHBA-n\u00eb n\u00eb termat m\u00eb t\u00eb forta, duke e par\u00eb nj\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzim t\u00eb mundsh\u00ebm t\u00eb tensionit si mund\u00ebsin\u00eb e p\u00ebrsosur p\u00ebr ta rr\u00ebzuar at\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kaos n\u00eb vendimmarrje<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u201cMekanizmi i vendimmarrjes n\u00eb Iran \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb kaos t\u00eb plot\u00eb\u201d, thot\u00eb Mehran Hajirian, drejtor ekzekutiv i k\u00ebrkimit n\u00eb organizat\u00ebn k\u00ebrkimore Bourse & Bazaar Foundation. \u201cEkziston qart\u00eb nj\u00eb tendenc\u00eb e fort\u00eb kund\u00ebr negociatave. Shum\u00eb njer\u00ebz duan ta \u00e7ojn\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb situat\u00eb n\u00eb ekstrem, sepse me kalimin e koh\u00ebs, regjimi b\u00ebhet i rr\u00ebnjosur dhe hap\u00ebsira p\u00ebr \u00e7do reform\u00eb politike pas luft\u00ebs zvog\u00eblohet.\u201d Si\u00e7 shpjegon ai, paralelja historike k\u00ebtu \u00ebsht\u00eb Lufta Iran-Irak (1980-1988)<\/strong> , nj\u00eb konflikt q\u00eb i lejoi Republik\u00ebs Islamike t\u00eb eliminonte rival\u00ebt e saj t\u00eb brendsh\u00ebm dhe t\u00eb konsolidonte modelin e saj teokratik.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pavar\u00ebsisht pak\u00ebnaq\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb p\u00ebrhapur me politikat e Donald Trump, thellimi i lidhjeve midis shteteve t\u00eb Gjirit dhe Uashingtonit mbetet nj\u00eb rrug\u00eb me nj\u00eb kah, argumenton Hamad Althunayan, nj\u00eb profesor i shkencave politike n\u00eb Universitetin e Kuvajtit. “Besueshm\u00ebria dhe aft\u00ebsia paguese e SHBA-s\u00eb si garantuese e siguris\u00eb mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb marr\u00eb nj\u00eb goditje t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00eb, por Amerika mbetet aleati m\u00eb i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm p\u00ebr shtetet e Gjirit. Si\u00e7 \u00ebsht\u00eb v\u00ebrtetuar, pavar\u00ebsisht se sa t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira jan\u00eb ndonj\u00ebher\u00eb aleancat e siguris\u00eb, \u00ebsht\u00eb gjithmon\u00eb m\u00eb mir\u00eb t’i p\u00ebrkas\u00ebsh nj\u00ebr\u00ebs sesa t\u00eb jesh plot\u00ebsisht vet\u00ebm.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, p\u00ebrfundon ai, p\u00ebrball\u00eb politik\u00ebs ekspansioniste t\u00eb Iranit, shtetet e Gjirit duhet t\u00eb reagojn\u00eb duke forcuar marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet e tyre me nj\u00ebra-tjetr\u00ebn dhe duke nd\u00ebrtuar nj\u00eb penges\u00eb t\u00eb fort\u00eb dhe t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt ushtarake. “M\u00ebnyra se si Gjiri zgjedh t\u00eb p\u00ebrballet me k\u00ebt\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnim \u00ebsht\u00eb gjithashtu ajo q\u00eb do t\u00eb form\u00ebsoj\u00eb tabel\u00ebn gjeopolitike t\u00eb shahut t\u00eb rajonit nes\u00ebr.”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

P\u00ebr regjimin iranian, kontrolli absolut i\u00a0Ngushtic\u00ebs s\u00eb Hormuzit\u00a0\u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb tani nj\u00eb\u00a0\u00e7\u00ebshtje me r\u00ebnd\u00ebsi jetike\u00a0– duke u renditur\u00a0edhe m\u00eb lart se heqja e\u00a0dhjet\u00ebra miliarda dollar\u00ebve n\u00eb sanksionet amerikane, t\u00eb cilat administrata Trump i ka v\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb tryez\u00eb. Dhe kjo ndodh sepse, si\u00e7 raporton Wall Street Journal n\u00eb analiz\u00ebn e saj , strategjia e Teheranit ka nj\u00eb horizont afatgjat\u00eb. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":23889,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[33,30],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23888","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bote","category-lajme"],"yoast_head":"\n\u00a0Si po p\u00ebrpiqet Irani t\u00eb imponoj\u00eb rendin e vet n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme - Kosova Times<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/kosovatimes.info\/index.php\/2026\/07\/12\/si-po-perpiqet-irani-te-imponoje-rendin-e-vet-ne-lindjen-e-mesme\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00a0Si po p\u00ebrpiqet Irani t\u00eb imponoj\u00eb rendin e vet n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme - Kosova Times\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"P\u00ebr regjimin iranian, kontrolli absolut i\u00a0Ngushtic\u00ebs s\u00eb Hormuzit\u00a0\u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb tani nj\u00eb\u00a0\u00e7\u00ebshtje me r\u00ebnd\u00ebsi jetike\u00a0– duke u renditur\u00a0edhe m\u00eb lart se heqja e\u00a0dhjet\u00ebra miliarda dollar\u00ebve n\u00eb sanksionet amerikane, t\u00eb cilat administrata Trump i ka v\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb tryez\u00eb. 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