{"id":25061,"date":"2026-07-30T10:03:41","date_gmt":"2026-07-30T08:03:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kosovatimes.info\/?p=25061"},"modified":"2026-07-30T10:03:43","modified_gmt":"2026-07-30T08:03:43","slug":"lidhja-midis-konflikteve-ne-ukraine-dhe-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kosovatimes.info\/index.php\/2026\/07\/30\/lidhja-midis-konflikteve-ne-ukraine-dhe-iran\/","title":{"rendered":"Lidhja midis konflikteve n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb dhe Iran"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Agresioni i Rusis\u00eb kund\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebs dhe kriza n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme po nd\u00ebrthuren gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00eb kontekstin e ri gjeopolitik. Ngjarjet e dit\u00ebve t\u00eb fundit e kan\u00eb konfirmuar edhe nj\u00eb her\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb. Si mund t\u00eb zhvillohet partneriteti ruso-iranian dhe \u00e7far\u00eb kund\u00ebrmasash mund t\u00eb ofrojn\u00eb Per\u00ebndimi dhe Ukraina?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Front i ri n\u00eb Kaspik?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb fund t\u00eb jav\u00ebs s\u00eb kaluar, Irani akuzoi Ukrain\u00ebn p\u00ebr nisjen e nj\u00eb sulmi ajror ndaj nj\u00eb anijeje iraniane n\u00eb Detin Kaspik. Teherani pretendoi se ajo po transportonte hekur nga Astrakhan, Rusi, n\u00eb portin iranian t\u00eb Anzalit. Rrethanat e incidentit, i cili ndodhi m\u00eb 25 korrik, mbeten t\u00eb paqarta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sh\u00ebrbimi special ukrainas, SBU, deklaroi<\/a> se dron\u00ebt godit\u00ebn anijen raketore ruse Molniya, si dhe dy anije mallrash, t\u00eb cilat, sipas SBU-s\u00eb, “ishin n\u00ebn sanksione nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare dhe p\u00ebrdoreshin p\u00ebr t\u00eb transportuar ngarkesa ushtarake midis Iranit dhe Rusis\u00eb”. Ky p\u00ebrshkrim tregon dy anije mallrash me flamur rus – Port Olya-2 dhe Begey. T\u00eb dyja jan\u00eb n\u00ebn sanksione nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare t\u00eb vendosura n\u00eb lidhje me luft\u00ebn n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb. Ngarkesa e sakt\u00eb q\u00eb transportonin k\u00ebto anije \u00ebsht\u00eb e panjohur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cUkraina ka arritur rezultate shum\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme fal\u00eb sulmeve me rreze t\u00eb gjat\u00eb veprimi n\u00eb Detin Kaspik, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb edhe kund\u00ebr anijeve t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshira n\u00eb transportin e ngarkesave ushtarake q\u00eb p\u00ebrfshijn\u00eb Iranin\u201d, vuri n\u00eb dukje Presidenti ukrainas Volodymyr Zelenskyy<\/strong> n\u00eb nj\u00eb postim n\u00eb Telegram<\/a> .<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cZelensky sulmoi nj\u00eb anije tregtare iraniane, duke vrar\u00eb nj\u00eb marinar. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb shkelje e qart\u00eb e Kart\u00ebs s\u00eb OKB-s\u00eb, e kryer me urdh\u00ebr t\u00eb Izraelit p\u00ebr t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb Evrop\u00ebn n\u00eb luft\u00ebn e tyre. N\u00eb bisedat me P\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsuesin e Lart\u00eb t\u00eb BE-s\u00eb Kallas dhe Ministrin e Jasht\u00ebm Lavrov, e b\u00ebra t\u00eb qart\u00eb se kjo nuk mund t\u00eb mbetet pa p\u00ebrgjigje\u201d, u p\u00ebrgjigj<\/a> Ministri i Jasht\u00ebm iranian Abbas Araghchi<\/strong> .<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ministri i Jasht\u00ebm ukrainas Andriy Sybiha <\/strong>u p\u00ebrgjigj<\/a> duke deklaruar se Irani “nuk ka t\u00eb drejt\u00eb ta portretizoj\u00eb veten si viktim\u00eb”, pasi \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb fakt bashk\u00ebfajtor n\u00eb agresionin rus kund\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebs duke furnizuar Rusin\u00eb me arm\u00eb. N\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb, q\u00eb nga fillimi i pushtimit n\u00eb shkall\u00eb t\u00eb plot\u00eb, Moska ka p\u00ebrdorur n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb aktive dron\u00eb Shahed t\u00eb prodhuar n\u00eb Iran, t\u00eb cil\u00ebt shpejt filloi t’i prodhoj\u00eb n\u00eb vend (versioni rus quhet “Geran”).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cSulmet me dron\u00eb t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs kund\u00ebr anijeve dhe infrastruktur\u00ebs energjetike n\u00eb Kaspik demonstrojn\u00eb aft\u00ebsit\u00eb n\u00eb rritje t\u00eb vendit p\u00ebr sulme me rreze t\u00eb gjat\u00eb veprimi dhe d\u00ebshir\u00ebn e saj p\u00ebr t\u00eb paralizuar industrit\u00eb q\u00eb mb\u00ebshtesin operacionet ushtarake t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb… Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb koh\u00ebn e duhur p\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebn, duke pasur parasysh se Zelenskyy po shkon n\u00eb Uashington p\u00ebr t’u takuar me Presidentin Donald Trump. Mesazhi \u00ebsht\u00eb i qart\u00eb: ne jemi n\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn an\u00eb\u201d, komentoi<\/a> CNN . Bisedimet u zhvilluan m\u00eb 28 korrik dhe Zelenskyy i p\u00ebrshkroi ato si \u201ct\u00eb mira\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/t.me\/V_Zelenskiy_official\/20200?embed=1<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cSulmi ukrainas ndaj anijes iraniane p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebson nj\u00eb ndryshim t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm n\u00eb taktika dhe d\u00ebrgon nj\u00eb sinjal t\u00eb qart\u00eb se Ukraina nuk do t\u00eb toleroj\u00eb agresionin, pavar\u00ebsisht se nga vjen\u201d, thot\u00eb Luke Coffey<\/strong> , nj\u00eb ekspert i Rusis\u00eb n\u00eb Institutin Hudson, nj\u00eb organizat\u00eb k\u00ebrkimore me seli n\u00eb Uashington. \u201cUn\u00eb besoj se k\u00ebto lloj operacionesh do t\u00eb pengojn\u00eb gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb transportin detar midis Rusis\u00eb dhe Iranit n\u00eb Detin Kaspik.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kremlini gjithashtu ka nd\u00ebrhyr\u00eb, me z\u00ebdh\u00ebn\u00ebsin Dmitry Peskov<\/strong> q\u00eb u tha gazetar\u00ebve <\/strong>se sulmi ukrainas duhet t\u00eb shihet si nj\u00eb sulm i drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb ndaj Iranit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Duke l\u00ebn\u00eb m\u00ebnjan\u00eb retorik\u00ebn e zem\u00ebruar, shkalla n\u00eb t\u00eb cil\u00ebn Irani do t\u00eb jet\u00eb n\u00eb gjendje t\u00eb hakmerret mbetet e paqart\u00eb. “Teherani \u00ebsht\u00eb sigurisht i indinjuar, por aft\u00ebsia e tij p\u00ebr t\u00eb p\u00ebrdorur forc\u00ebn ushtarake kund\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebs \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb e kufizuar”, v\u00ebren Saeed Golkar<\/strong> , nj\u00eb ekspert i ushtris\u00eb iraniane dhe profesor n\u00eb Universitetin e Tenesit n\u00eb Chattanooga. “N\u00ebse Irani vendos t\u00eb hakmerret, un\u00eb do t\u00eb prisja masa indirekte, t\u00eb tilla si operacione kibernetike, aktivitete inteligjence, mb\u00ebshtetje p\u00ebr veprimet ruse ose ndoshta sulme ndaj interesave ukrainase jasht\u00eb vendit, n\u00eb vend t\u00eb nj\u00eb sulmi tradicional ushtarak.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nate Swanson<\/strong>\u00a0, i cili sh\u00ebrbeu si drejtor p\u00ebr Iranin n\u00eb K\u00ebshillin e Siguris\u00eb Komb\u00ebtare t\u00eb Sht\u00ebpis\u00eb s\u00eb Bardh\u00eb n\u00ebn Presidentin Joe Biden, shprehu gjithashtu dyshime n\u00eb lidhje me aft\u00ebsin\u00eb e Iranit p\u00ebr t’u hakmarr\u00eb seriozisht. “Kur b\u00ebhet fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebn, Irani leh m\u00eb shum\u00eb sesa kafshon. Nd\u00ebrsa \u00ebsht\u00eb e mundur q\u00eb Irani t\u00eb nd\u00ebrmarr\u00eb disa masa simbolike hakmarr\u00ebse kund\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebs, n\u00eb p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsi, dyshoj se as Ukraina dhe as Irani po k\u00ebrkojn\u00eb t\u00eb hapin fronte t\u00eb reja n\u00eb luft\u00ebrat e tyre.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Presidenti ukrainas Volodymyr Zelenskyy<\/strong> deklaroi gjithashtu se Rusia po i furnizon Iranit me inteligjenc\u00eb mbi asetet amerikane n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme, duke i mund\u00ebsuar k\u00ebshtu regjimit iranian t\u00eb caktoj\u00eb koh\u00ebn e duhur p\u00ebr sulmet e tij kund\u00ebr k\u00ebtyre objektivave. Deklarata erdhi n\u00eb prag t\u00eb vizit\u00ebs s\u00eb Zelenskyy n\u00eb Shtetet e Bashkuara.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Donald Trump<\/strong> tha se Shtetet e Bashkuara do t\u00eb hetojn\u00eb raportet se Rusia i ka ofruar inteligjenc\u00eb Iranit. M\u00eb par\u00eb, presidenti amerikan demonstroi nd\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebsimin e tij n\u00eb rritje p\u00ebr lidhjen midis dy lidhjeve gjeopolitike – Ukrain\u00ebs dhe Lindjes s\u00eb Mesme. Trump u b\u00ebri p\u00ebrs\u00ebri thirrje an\u00ebtar\u00ebve t\u00eb Kongresit q\u00eb t\u00eb shtojn\u00eb sanksione kund\u00ebr Iranit n\u00eb projektligjin p\u00ebr sanksionet ndaj Rusis\u00eb, t\u00eb bashk\u00ebsponsorizuar nga senatori i ndjer\u00eb Lindsey Graham. Si\u00e7 shkroi<\/a> Trump n\u00eb platform\u00ebn e mediave sociale Truth Social, vet\u00eb Graham e inicioi k\u00ebt\u00eb ide, “dhe duhej t\u00eb ndodhte”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb Putini nj\u00eb mik n\u00eb nevoj\u00eb?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Nd\u00ebrsa Moska dhe Teherani nuk kan\u00eb formuar kurr\u00eb nj\u00eb aleanc\u00eb ushtarake zyrtare, bashk\u00ebpunimi i tyre n\u00eb dron\u00eb, inteligjenc\u00eb, shmangie t\u00eb sanksioneve dhe siguri t\u00eb brendshme \u00ebsht\u00eb thelluar q\u00eb kur Rusia nisi pushtimin e saj n\u00eb shkall\u00eb t\u00eb plot\u00eb t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb nj\u00eb intervist\u00eb me Radion Evropa e Lir\u00eb\/Radio Liberty, Nicole Grayevsky<\/strong> , nj\u00eb eksperte p\u00ebr marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet ruso-iraniane<\/a> n\u00eb Institutin e Studimeve Politike (Sciences Po) n\u00eb Paris dhe n\u00eb Carnegie Endowment p\u00ebr Paqen Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare, shpjegon se si konfliktet n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb dhe Gjirin Persik po b\u00ebhen gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb t\u00eb nd\u00ebrthurura – dhe sa larg \u00ebsht\u00eb e gatshme t\u00eb shkoj\u00eb Rusia p\u00ebr t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetur Iranin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 N\u00eb sfondin e konfliktit n\u00eb rritje n\u00eb Gjirin Persik, si po e ndryshon rrjedh\u00ebn e luft\u00ebs n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb dhe si po ndikon n\u00eb kriz\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb gjer\u00eb n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme partneriteti n\u00eb thellim midis Mosk\u00ebs dhe Teheranit?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb kontekstin e t\u00eb dy luft\u00ebrave, b\u00ebhet m\u00eb se e qart\u00eb se sa t\u00eb nd\u00ebrthurura jan\u00eb marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet ruso-iraniane dhe si jan\u00eb transformuar ato. P\u00ebr shembull, Irani furnizoi Rusin\u00eb me dron\u00eb Shahed, t\u00eb cil\u00ebt u p\u00ebrdor\u00ebn gjer\u00ebsisht kund\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebs. Nga ana tjet\u00ebr, Rusia i ofron Iranit mb\u00ebshtetje thelb\u00ebsore n\u00eb form\u00ebn e imazheve satelitore, ndihm\u00ebs s\u00eb mundshme n\u00eb sh\u00ebnjestrim, trajnimit, ndihm\u00ebs operacionale dhe ndarjes s\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u00ebshtu, ekziston nj\u00eb lloj sinergjie q\u00eb n\u00eb fakt ka dal\u00eb nga lufta n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, dhe ne e shohim at\u00eb t\u00eb shfaqet n\u00eb luft\u00ebn aktuale n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme. P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, shum\u00eb nga k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimet me t\u00eb cilat p\u00ebrballen ukrainasit \u00e7do dit\u00eb aktualisht po p\u00ebrballen me aleat\u00ebt e SHBA-s\u00eb n\u00eb Gjirin Persik. Gjat\u00eb luft\u00ebs, Ukraina k\u00ebshilloi partner\u00ebt n\u00eb rajon p\u00ebr operacionet kund\u00ebr dron\u00ebve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ka shum\u00eb lidhje midis dy luft\u00ebrave dhe mendoj se do t\u00eb ishte gabim t\u00eb mos i analizonim s\u00eb bashku, pasi ato jan\u00eb t\u00eb lidhura n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb pazgjidhshme jo vet\u00ebm n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet dy aktor\u00ebve t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb, por edhe n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtave teknologjive dhe burimeve t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Teknologjit\u00eb iraniane t\u00eb dron\u00ebve dhe raketave kan\u00eb luajtur nj\u00eb rol t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm n\u00eb fushat\u00ebn ushtarake t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb. Por, me Teheranin q\u00eb p\u00ebrballet me k\u00ebrc\u00ebnime n\u00eb rritje n\u00eb Gjirin Persik, a po e shlyen Moska borxhin e saj? Apo po i ruan burimet e saj ushtarake p\u00ebr frontin ukrainas?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb e qart\u00eb se \u00e7far\u00eb teknologjie ruse \u00ebsht\u00eb transferuar sakt\u00ebsisht, ose \u00e7far\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb sakt\u00ebsisht e re n\u00eb UAV-t\u00eb iraniane. Megjithat\u00eb, \u00ebsht\u00eb e qart\u00eb se strategjia, taktikat dhe madje edhe metodat operative t\u00eb Iranit jan\u00eb p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsuar, dhe ato kan\u00eb disa ngjashm\u00ebri me m\u00ebnyr\u00ebn se si Rusia po i p\u00ebrdor k\u00ebto sisteme n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Megjithat\u00eb, nuk e shohim Rusin\u00eb duke transferuar sisteme t\u00eb m\u00ebdha arm\u00ebsh n\u00eb Iran. Marr\u00ebveshja e fundit e raportuar p\u00ebr arm\u00eb midis dy vendeve ishte nj\u00eb raport i Financial Times mbi dor\u00ebzimin e sistemeve t\u00eb mbrojtjes ajrore t\u00eb l\u00ebvizshme nga njeriu Verba <\/a>n\u00eb dhjetor 2025.<\/a> Q\u00eb nga fillimi i luft\u00ebs kund\u00ebr Iranit, nuk ka pasur transferim t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb t\u00eb sistemeve t\u00eb m\u00ebdha arm\u00ebsh n\u00eb shkall\u00eb t\u00eb plot\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Por, meqen\u00ebse Irani zot\u00ebron – ose t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn zot\u00ebronte para luft\u00ebs – nj\u00eb industri mbrojt\u00ebse mjaft t\u00eb fuqishme, Rusia mund t\u00eb furnizoj\u00eb vet\u00ebm komponent\u00eb dhe n\u00ebnmontime q\u00eb i lejojn\u00eb Iranit t\u00eb p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsoj\u00eb gradualisht k\u00ebto UAV-e t\u00eb nj\u00ebjta. Ka disa indikacione se kjo po ndodh, por ende nuk ka prova bind\u00ebse q\u00eb tregojn\u00eb sakt\u00ebsisht se cil\u00ebt komponent\u00eb u transferuan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Ministrat
Ministrat e Jasht\u00ebm iranian\u00eb dhe rus, Abbas Araghchi dhe Sergey Lavrov, gjat\u00eb bisedimeve n\u00eb Teheran, shkurt 2025<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Teherani prej koh\u00ebsh i \u00ebsht\u00eb drejtuar Mosk\u00ebs p\u00ebr sisteme t\u00eb p\u00ebrparuara t\u00eb mbrojtjes ajrore dhe luft\u00ebs elektronike. Duke pasur parasysh nevojat e Rusis\u00eb p\u00ebr luft\u00ebn n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, a e ruan ajo kapacitetin apo gatishm\u00ebrin\u00eb politike p\u00ebr t\u00eb forcuar mbrojtjen e Iranit?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Varet se p\u00ebr \u00e7far\u00eb po flasim sakt\u00ebsisht, pasi Rusia \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb e p\u00ebrparuar n\u00eb prodhimin e disa sistemeve sesa t\u00eb tjerave. P\u00ebr shembull, nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb e konsiderueshme e aft\u00ebsive mbrojt\u00ebse t\u00eb Iranit p\u00ebr luft\u00eb elektronike (EW) vjen nga Rusia. Por ne nuk e dim\u00eb n\u00ebse rus\u00ebt kan\u00eb transferuar aft\u00ebsi sulmuese EW te iranian\u00ebt. \u00cbsht\u00eb gjithashtu e paqart\u00eb n\u00ebse Rusia e ka ndihmuar Iranin t\u00eb rivendos\u00eb sistemet e tij t\u00eb radar\u00ebve t\u00eb shkat\u00ebrruara. Por n\u00eb parim, kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb fush\u00eb tjet\u00ebr ku ajo mund t\u00eb ofroj\u00eb ndihm\u00eb.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Problemi m\u00eb i madh\u2014dhe kjo na kthen te lufta n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb\u2014jan\u00eb sistemet e mbrojtjes ajrore. Rusia \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb pozicion t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb kur b\u00ebhet fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr furnizimin e tyre, pasi i duhen p\u00ebr vete. Dhe Iranit i mungojn\u00eb burimet financiare p\u00ebr t’i bler\u00eb ato.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Megjithat\u00eb, ka m\u00ebnyra t\u00eb tjera se si Rusia mund t\u00eb forcoj\u00eb gradualisht aft\u00ebsit\u00eb e Iranit, si\u00e7 \u00ebsht\u00eb furnizimi me arm\u00eb t\u00eb vogla ose komponent\u00eb p\u00ebr UAV. Prandaj, \u00ebsht\u00eb e pasakt\u00eb t\u00eb pretendosh se Rusia \u00ebsht\u00eb aq e z\u00ebn\u00eb me Ukrain\u00ebn sa nuk mund t’i ofroj\u00eb asgj\u00eb Iranit. P\u00ebrkundrazi, ajo mbetet e aft\u00eb t\u00eb ofroj\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetje n\u00eb fushat ku Teherani ka m\u00eb shum\u00eb nevoj\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ju keni shprehur mendimin se, pas ngjarjeve n\u00eb Siri dhe Venezuel\u00eb – r\u00ebnia e udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsve autoritar\u00eb Bashar al-Assad dhe Nicol\u00e1s Maduro, ish-aleat\u00eb t\u00eb Kremlinit – Rusia rrezikon t\u00eb krijoj\u00eb nj\u00eb reputacion si nj\u00eb partner tek i cili mund t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetesh vet\u00ebm n\u00eb rrethana t\u00eb favorshme, por jo n\u00eb koh\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira. N\u00ebse Irani do t\u00eb p\u00ebrballej me nj\u00eb kriz\u00eb ushtarake ekzistenciale, a do t\u00eb nd\u00ebrhynte Moska<\/em> apo do ta braktiste Teheranin n\u00eb fatin e tij?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00ebr Rusin\u00eb, Irani nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb aspak i nj\u00ebjt\u00eb me Sirin\u00eb. Irani \u00ebsht\u00eb kryesisht i pavarur. Ai ka aft\u00ebsit\u00eb e veta dhe mund ta sfidoj\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt fuqin\u00eb amerikane n\u00eb nj\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb q\u00eb as Siria dhe as Venezuela nuk mund ta b\u00ebnin. P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, ai ka nj\u00eb struktur\u00eb ushtarake relativisht t\u00eb zhvilluar t\u00eb vendosur n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb vendin. N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb kuptim, ndryshe nga Siria n\u00ebn Bashar al-Assad, ndihma e Rusis\u00eb nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb kritike p\u00ebr t\u00eb.Megjithat\u00eb, n\u00ebse situata n\u00eb Iran arrin n\u00eb prag t\u00eb luft\u00ebs civile ose kaosit t\u00eb p\u00ebrhapur, n\u00ebse regjimi shembet dhe shfaqet di\u00e7ka q\u00eb i ngjan boshll\u00ebkut q\u00eb pam\u00eb n\u00eb Siri, at\u00ebher\u00eb un\u00eb besoj v\u00ebrtet se Rusia do t\u00eb nd\u00ebrhyj\u00eb. Kjo mund t\u00eb n\u00ebnkuptoj\u00eb vendosjen e forcave t\u00eb operacioneve speciale ose ndoshta t\u00eb ashtuquajturave kompani ushtarake private (PMC).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nuk mendoj se do t\u00eb kishim par\u00eb nj\u00eb vendosje t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb trupave ruse ose nj\u00eb fushat\u00eb ajrore t\u00eb ngjashme me at\u00eb q\u00eb ndodhi n\u00eb Siri. Veprimet e Rusis\u00eb do t\u00eb kishin qen\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrmbajtura dhe t\u00eb p\u00ebrqendruara n\u00eb ofrimin e mb\u00ebshtetjes operacionale p\u00ebr \u00e7do mbetje t\u00eb regjimit iranian q\u00eb Moska zgjodhi t\u00eb mb\u00ebshteste.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nafta, Kina dhe sheik\u00ebt arab\u00eb<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Paq\u00ebndrueshm\u00ebria n\u00eb Gjirin Persik po rrit \u00e7mimet globale t\u00eb naft\u00ebs, duke i sjell\u00eb dobi ekonomis\u00eb ushtarake t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb. N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, nafta ruse, e shitur me zbritje, konkurron drejtp\u00ebrdrejt me eksportet iraniane n\u00eb Azi. A po i pengon konkurrenca energjetike Mosk\u00ebn dhe Teheranin t\u00eb b\u00ebhen aleat\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb ekonomik\u00eb?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet ekonomike midis Rusis\u00eb dhe Iranit nuk kan\u00eb qen\u00eb kurr\u00eb v\u00ebrtet t\u00eb forta. Tregtia midis dy vendeve \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb fakt mjaft modeste, megjith\u00ebse \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur ndjesh\u00ebm q\u00eb nga fillimi i luft\u00ebs n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb. Kjo pjes\u00ebrisht p\u00ebr shkak se t\u00eb dy vendet importojn\u00eb dhe eksportojn\u00eb mallra t\u00eb ngjashme. Ato jan\u00eb eksportuese t\u00eb m\u00ebdha t\u00eb energjis\u00eb, k\u00ebshtu q\u00eb sistemet e tyre tregtare nuk jan\u00eb plot\u00ebsuese.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Konkurrenca n\u00eb tregjet e energjis\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb pik\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb p\u00ebr Iranin q\u00eb nga lufta n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb. Rusia ka hyr\u00eb n\u00eb tregjet n\u00eb hije ku Irani tradicionalisht shiste naft\u00ebn e tij. Ajo gjithashtu ka dep\u00ebrtuar n\u00eb t\u00eb ashtuquajturat “\u00e7ajnik” – rafineri t\u00eb vogla dhe t\u00eb mesme n\u00eb dukje t\u00eb pavarura n\u00eb Kin\u00eb, t\u00eb cilat kishin qen\u00eb prej koh\u00ebsh nj\u00eb treg i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm p\u00ebr eksportet iraniane. Rusia madje ka sekuestruar disa nga kapacitetet e tanker\u00ebve q\u00eb Irani kishte llogaritur, duke zgjeruar flot\u00ebn e saj n\u00eb hije.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sigurisht, kjo krijoi tension. N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, anashkalimi i sanksioneve \u00e7oi n\u00eb shfaqjen e formave krejt\u00ebsisht t\u00eb reja t\u00eb bashk\u00ebpunimit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Zjarr
Zjarr n\u00eb Aeroportin e Dubait pas nj\u00eb sulmi me dron iranian m\u00eb 16 mars 2026<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Kina blen v\u00ebllime t\u00eb m\u00ebdha nafte si ruse ashtu edhe iraniane. Si ndikojn\u00eb nd\u00ebrprerjet n\u00eb furnizimin me energji nga Gjiri Persik n\u00eb ndikimin e Pekinit mbi Mosk\u00ebn dhe Teheranin? A vepron Kina si nj\u00eb penges\u00eb?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet e Kin\u00ebs me t\u00eb dy vendet jan\u00eb thelb\u00ebsore p\u00ebr mbijetes\u00ebn e tyre. Kina ofron komponent\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm dhe mb\u00ebshtetje financiare q\u00eb ndihmojn\u00eb si Rusin\u00eb ashtu edhe Iranin t\u00eb mbijetojn\u00eb n\u00eb konfliktet e tyre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Megjithat\u00eb, Kina nuk p\u00ebrfiton nga paq\u00ebndrueshm\u00ebria n\u00eb Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit aq sa ndoshta p\u00ebrfiton Rusia. Pekini mban marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnie t\u00eb gjera tregtare me monarkit\u00eb e Gjirit Persik dhe mb\u00ebshtetet shum\u00eb n\u00eb furnizimet me energji nga rajoni. Prandaj, n\u00eb disa zona, Kina po ushtron m\u00eb shum\u00eb vet\u00ebp\u00ebrmbajtje dhe po p\u00ebrpiqet t\u00eb gjej\u00eb m\u00ebnyra p\u00ebr t\u00eb ulur tensionet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Megjithat\u00eb, Rusia nuk ka qen\u00eb n\u00eb gjendje ta luaj\u00eb v\u00ebrtet k\u00ebt\u00eb rol, pjes\u00ebrisht sepse shtetet e Gjirit nuk e shohin m\u00eb at\u00eb me t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn vullnet t\u00eb mir\u00eb q\u00eb kishin para luft\u00ebs. Udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsit e Gjirit e kuptojn\u00eb qart\u00eb se Rusia tani \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb af\u00ebr Iranit, edhe pse k\u00ebto vende ende p\u00ebrpiqen t\u00eb ruajn\u00eb marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnie pragmatike me Mosk\u00ebn. Situata \u00ebsht\u00eb komplekse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb, Kina po inkurajon konkurrenc\u00ebn, pasi si Rusia ashtu edhe Irani k\u00ebrkojn\u00eb t\u00eb ruajn\u00eb aksesin maksimal n\u00eb tregun kinez. Megjithat\u00eb, n\u00eb p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsi, Pekini po mban nj\u00eb q\u00ebndrim shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb moderuar ndaj konfliktit n\u00eb rritje n\u00eb Gjirin Persik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Represioni dhe shmangia e sanksioneve<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb hulumtimin tuaj t\u00eb fundit , ju p\u00ebrshkruani se si Moska ndihmon n\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetjen e sistemit politik t\u00eb Iranit gjat\u00eb periudhave t\u00eb trazirave t\u00eb brendshme. Sa e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme \u00ebsht\u00eb ekspertiza e Rusis\u00eb n\u00eb kontrollin e informacionit dhe shtypjen e brendshme p\u00ebr mbijetes\u00ebn e Republik\u00ebs Islamike?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Iranian\u00ebt kan\u00eb m\u00ebsuar shum\u00eb nga Rusia, duke filluar me “revolucionet me ngjyra” dhe protestat ruse t\u00eb viteve 2010, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00eb aspektin e metodave autoritare t\u00eb kontrollit. Ata kan\u00eb m\u00ebsuar shum\u00eb edhe nga p\u00ebrvoja e Kin\u00ebs me mbylljet e internetit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gjat\u00eb val\u00ebs s\u00eb fundit t\u00eb protestave, autoritetet iraniane shkuan shum\u00eb m\u00eb tej se kurr\u00eb m\u00eb par\u00eb. Ato kryen mbyllje shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb synuara t\u00eb internetit, nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb ruajt\u00ebn aksesin n\u00eb sh\u00ebrbimet kritike vendase, di\u00e7ka q\u00eb m\u00eb par\u00eb e kishin pasur t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb ta b\u00ebnin. Ka disa shenja ndihme nga Rusia ose Kina. Ekzistojn\u00eb gjithashtu marr\u00ebveshje midis agjencive t\u00eb inteligjenc\u00ebs ruse dhe iraniane, q\u00eb datojn\u00eb rreth vitit 2014, t\u00eb cilat jan\u00eb zgjeruar me kalimin e koh\u00ebs. Pakti i Bashk\u00ebpunimit p\u00ebr Sigurin\u00eb Kibernetike<\/a> Rusi-Iran i vitit 2021 p\u00ebrfshin dispozita p\u00ebr mb\u00ebshtetje dhe ndarje t\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rusia ka t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb t\u00eb ket\u00eb luajtur nj\u00eb rol t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm k\u00ebtu, por un\u00eb nuk do ta n\u00ebnvler\u00ebsoja aparatin represiv t\u00eb Iranit. \u00cbsht\u00eb i aft\u00eb t\u00eb veproj\u00eb n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb pavarur, megjith\u00ebse ka p\u00ebrfituar qart\u00eb nga mb\u00ebshtetja e regjimeve t\u00eb tjera autoritare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Raportohet se Rusia ka ndar\u00eb informacione t\u00eb bazuara n\u00eb satelit\u00eb n\u00eb lidhje me objektiva t\u00eb mundshme ushtarake me Iranin. Sa larg \u00ebsht\u00eb i gatsh\u00ebm t\u00eb shkoj\u00eb Kremlini p\u00ebr t\u00eb forcuar aft\u00ebsit\u00eb ushtarake t\u00eb Iranit pa provokuar nj\u00eb konfrontim t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb me Per\u00ebndimin?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pjesa m\u00eb e madhe e mb\u00ebshtetjes s\u00eb Rusis\u00eb p\u00ebr Iranin u krye n\u00ebn mask\u00ebn e “mohimit t\u00eb besuesh\u00ebm”. Rusia mohoi akuzat p\u00ebr ofrimin e mb\u00ebshtetjes satelitore ose thjesht e hodhi posht\u00eb at\u00eb si t\u00eb pandryshueshme nga ndihma q\u00eb SHBA-t\u00eb i japin Ukrain\u00ebs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Protesta
Protesta n\u00eb Isfahan (Iran), shkurt 2025<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Rusia nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb e p\u00ebrgatitur t\u00eb deklaroj\u00eb hapur p\u00ebrfshirjen e saj n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb konflikt, gj\u00eb q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb plot\u00ebsisht logjike duke pasur parasysh marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet e saj me shtetet e Gjirit Persik. N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, retorika e Mosk\u00ebs ndaj monarkive t\u00eb rajonit \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb duksh\u00ebm m\u00eb kritike, madje edhe krahasuar me luft\u00ebn 12-ditore<\/a> , ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00eb drit\u00ebn e vendosjes s\u00eb bazave ushtarake amerikane n\u00eb territorin e tyre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nuk do ta quaja q\u00ebndrimin e Rusis\u00eb pasiv. P\u00ebrkundrazi, ajo e mb\u00ebshtet Iranin n\u00eb nj\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb q\u00eb ruan mund\u00ebsin\u00eb e mospranimit t\u00eb asgj\u00ebje. Ofrimi i imazheve satelitore dhe shk\u00ebmbimi i t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb i nj\u00ebjt\u00eb me furnizimet direkte t\u00eb arm\u00ebve, e l\u00ebre m\u00eb vendosjen e trupave ruse. N\u00eb vend t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj, Rusia po i forcon gradualisht aft\u00ebsit\u00eb e Iranit, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00eb fusha si zbulimi hap\u00ebsinor, ku iranian\u00ebt kan\u00eb boshll\u00ebqe t\u00eb konsiderueshme. Por Moska nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb e p\u00ebrgatitur t\u00eb hyj\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb konflikt si pjes\u00eb e nj\u00eb koalicioni ushtarak me Iranin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 A po i pengojn\u00eb sanksionet dhe p\u00ebrpjekjet per\u00ebndimore p\u00ebr t\u00eb izoluar Rusin\u00eb dhe Iranin k\u00ebto dy vende<\/em> , apo po e forcojn\u00eb partneritetin e tyre strategjik afatgjat\u00eb?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nj\u00eb gj\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb absolutisht e qart\u00eb: sanksionet jan\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira p\u00ebr t’u hequr pasi t\u00eb vendosen, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00eb Shtetet e Bashkuara. Jan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb p\u00ebrjashtime p\u00ebr Rusin\u00eb, p\u00ebr shembull, n\u00eb sektorin e naft\u00ebs, p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb luft\u00ebs me Iranin, por n\u00eb p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsi, regjimi i sanksioneve mbetet n\u00eb fuqi. Irani i \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00ebnshtruar sanksioneve shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb gjera sesa Rusia, por n\u00eb p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsi, t\u00eb dy vendet jan\u00eb aktualisht n\u00eb nj\u00eb situat\u00eb t\u00eb ngjashme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Deri n\u00eb nj\u00eb far\u00eb mase, po, si Rusia ashtu edhe Irani e gjet\u00ebn veten t\u00eb izoluar. Por ato gjet\u00ebn edhe m\u00ebnyra t\u00eb reja p\u00ebr t\u00eb bashk\u00ebpunuar. Bashk\u00ebpunimi i tyre n\u00eb shmangien e sanksioneve \u00ebsht\u00eb zgjeruar ndjesh\u00ebm dhe kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme e marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnies s\u00eb tyre. Rusia, n\u00eb ve\u00e7anti, ka m\u00ebsuar shum\u00eb nga Irani, i cili ka vite p\u00ebrvoj\u00eb n\u00eb operimin n\u00ebn sanksione dhe anashkalimin e tyre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Agresioni i Rusis\u00eb kund\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebs dhe kriza n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme po nd\u00ebrthuren gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00eb kontekstin e ri gjeopolitik. Ngjarjet e dit\u00ebve t\u00eb fundit e kan\u00eb konfirmuar edhe nj\u00eb her\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb. Si mund t\u00eb zhvillohet partneriteti ruso-iranian dhe \u00e7far\u00eb kund\u00ebrmasash mund t\u00eb ofrojn\u00eb Per\u00ebndimi dhe Ukraina? Front i ri n\u00eb Kaspik? N\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":25062,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25061","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-gjeopolitik"],"yoast_head":"\nLidhja midis konflikteve n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb dhe Iran - Kosova Times<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/kosovatimes.info\/index.php\/2026\/07\/30\/lidhja-midis-konflikteve-ne-ukraine-dhe-iran\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Lidhja midis konflikteve n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb dhe Iran - Kosova Times\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Agresioni i Rusis\u00eb kund\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebs dhe kriza n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme po nd\u00ebrthuren gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00eb kontekstin e ri gjeopolitik. Ngjarjet e dit\u00ebve t\u00eb fundit e kan\u00eb konfirmuar edhe nj\u00eb her\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb. Si mund t\u00eb zhvillohet partneriteti ruso-iranian dhe \u00e7far\u00eb kund\u00ebrmasash mund t\u00eb ofrojn\u00eb Per\u00ebndimi dhe Ukraina? Front i ri n\u00eb Kaspik? 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Ngjarjet e dit\u00ebve t\u00eb fundit e kan\u00eb konfirmuar edhe nj\u00eb her\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb. Si mund t\u00eb zhvillohet partneriteti ruso-iranian dhe \u00e7far\u00eb kund\u00ebrmasash mund t\u00eb ofrojn\u00eb Per\u00ebndimi dhe Ukraina? Front i ri n\u00eb Kaspik? 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