Ishte nj\u00eb pyetje q\u00eb Presidenti Vladimir Putin nuk donte t\u2019i p\u00ebrgjigjej: Po sikur SHBA-t\u00eb ose Izraeli t\u00eb vrisnin Udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsin Suprem t\u00eb Iranit, Ajatollah Ali Khamenei?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
N\u00eb at\u00eb koh\u00eb, n\u00eb qershor t\u00eb vitit t\u00eb kaluar, skenari ishte hipotetik. T\u00eb dy vendet sapo kishin sulmuar Iranin n\u00eb nj\u00eb p\u00ebrpjekje p\u00ebr t\u00eb shkat\u00ebrruar programin e tij b\u00ebrthamor dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb vrar\u00eb udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsit kryesor\u00eb t\u00eb tij, dhe Presidenti Donald Trump tha se<\/a> SHBA-t\u00eb e dinin vendndodhjen e Khameneit. N\u00eb Forumin Ekonomik vjetor t\u00eb Sh\u00ebn Petersburgut, nj\u00eb gazetar donte t\u00eb dinte se si do t\u00eb reagonte Rusia ndaj asaj q\u00eb mund t\u00eb ndodhte m\u00eb pas .<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u00abN\u00ebse m\u00eb lejoni, shpresoj se kjo do t\u00eb jet\u00eb p\u00ebrgjigjja m\u00eb e sakt\u00eb p\u00ebr pyetjen tuaj\u00bb, tha Putin <\/a>. \u00abAs nuk dua ta diskutoj k\u00ebt\u00eb mund\u00ebsi. Nuk dua ta diskutoj.\u00bb<\/p>\n\n\n\n T\u00eb shtun\u00ebn, situata q\u00eb ndoshta ishte shum\u00eb shqet\u00ebsuese p\u00ebr Putinin p\u00ebr ta menduar u b\u00eb realitet. N\u00eb nj\u00eb shfaqje masive force, SHBA-t\u00eb dhe Izraeli godit\u00ebn baza ushtarake dhe shkat\u00ebrruan udh\u00ebheqjen mbijetuese t\u00eb Iranit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n N\u00ebse Khamenei ishte midis t\u00eb vrar\u00ebve ishte nj\u00eb \u00e7\u00ebshtje e hapur derisa filluan t\u00eb dilnin raportet p\u00ebr vdekjen e tij n\u00eb fund t\u00eb dit\u00ebs – s\u00eb pari nga Izraeli, pastaj nga Trump dhe m\u00eb pas nga vet\u00eb Irani.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Irani \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb nga aleat\u00ebt m\u00eb t\u00eb fort\u00eb t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb n\u00eb sken\u00ebn nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare dhe analist\u00ebt thon\u00eb se sulmet mund t\u00eb ken\u00eb pasoja t\u00eb thella p\u00ebr marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnien e tyre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Me vdekjen e Khameneit dhe me t\u00eb ardhmen e qeveris\u00eb s\u00eb ashp\u00ebr anti-per\u00ebndimore t\u00eb republik\u00ebs islamike n\u00eb dyshim, Rusia tani e gjen veten n\u00eb nj\u00eb pozicion p\u00ebr t\u00eb humbur shum\u00eb. Pyetja e vetme \u00ebsht\u00eb, sa?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Kur aleat\u00eb t\u00eb tjer\u00eb jan\u00eb rr\u00ebzuar vitet e fundit, Putini nuk ka komentuar menj\u00ebher\u00eb. mendimDikur nj\u00eb partner kritik, r\u00ebnia e Ajatollahut duket se do t\u00eb ket\u00eb pasoja minimale p\u00ebr luft\u00ebn e Rusis\u00ebLexo m\u00eb shum\u00eb<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Por, n\u00eb shenj\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb k\u00ebtij episodi p\u00ebr Rusin\u00eb, ai l\u00ebshoi<\/a> \u200b\u200bnj\u00eb deklarat\u00eb t\u00eb diel\u00ebn \u2014 vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb dit\u00eb pas sulmeve \u2014 duke d\u00ebnuar vdekjen e Khameneit dhe duke e quajtur at\u00eb nj\u00eb \u201cshkelje cinike t\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha normave t\u00eb moralit njer\u00ebzor dhe t\u00eb drejt\u00ebs nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n “N\u00eb vendin ton\u00eb, Ajatollah Khamenei do t\u00eb mbahet mend si nj\u00eb burr\u00eb shteti i shquar q\u00eb dha nj\u00eb kontribut t\u00eb madh personal n\u00eb zhvillimin e marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnieve miq\u00ebsore ruso-iraniane, duke i ngritur ato n\u00eb nivelin e nj\u00eb partneriteti strategjik gjith\u00ebp\u00ebrfshir\u00ebs”, tha Putin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ministria e Jashtme e Rusis\u00eb gjithashtu l\u00ebshoi<\/a> \u200b\u200bnj\u00eb d\u00ebnim t\u00eb ashp\u00ebr, duke pretenduar se SHBA-t\u00eb dhe Izraeli shkel\u00ebn t\u00eb drejt\u00ebn nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare dhe po k\u00ebrkonin t\u00eb n\u00ebnshtronin nj\u00eb shtet q\u00eb nuk iu p\u00ebrkul vullnetit t\u00eb tyre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Deklaratat ka t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb t\u00eb jen\u00eb masa e p\u00ebrgjigjes afatshkurt\u00ebr t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb, tha Nikita Smagin, nj\u00eb eksperte e marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnieve ruso-iraniane.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u201cNuk ka dyshim se Putini e merr personalisht\u201d, i tha ai gazet\u00ebs The Moscow Times t\u00eb diel\u00ebn, duke e krahasuar situat\u00ebn me vrasjet e aleat\u00ebve t\u00eb tjer\u00eb rus\u00eb si Muamar Gadafi i Libis\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2011 dhe Sadam Huseini i Irakut n\u00eb vitin 2006.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Por, nd\u00ebrsa rr\u00ebzimi i udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsve aleat\u00eb godet shum\u00eb thell\u00eb dhe nxit ankthet e vazhdueshme rreth r\u00ebnies s\u00eb vet\u00eb regjimit t\u00eb Putinit, Smagin tha se shqet\u00ebsimi m\u00eb i madh i Kremlinit tani \u00ebsht\u00eb portofoli i tij i konsideruesh\u00ebm i investimeve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Kjo p\u00ebrfshin korridorin Veri-Jug<\/a> , nj\u00eb rrug\u00eb hekurudhore t\u00eb planifikuar me vler\u00eb shum\u00eb miliard\u00eb dollar\u00eb midis Rusis\u00eb dhe Iranit p\u00ebrmes Kaukazit Jugor dhe nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje prej 25 miliard\u00eb dollar\u00ebsh p\u00ebr t\u00eb nd\u00ebrtuar kat\u00ebr reaktor\u00eb b\u00ebrthamor\u00eb n\u00eb Iranin jugor. Dhe vet\u00ebm muajin e kaluar , ambasadori i Iranit tha se kishte marr\u00eb<\/a> sinjale se Rusia po planifikonte t\u00eb zgjeronte pranin\u00eb e saj n\u00eb industrin\u00eb e naft\u00ebs dhe gazit t\u00eb vendit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u201cRusia ka investuar shum\u00eb p\u00ebrpjekje dhe para n\u00eb Iran\u201d, tha Smagin. \u201cSigurisht, n\u00ebse imagjinojm\u00eb ndryshimin e regjimit ose n\u00ebse imagjinojm\u00eb paq\u00ebndrueshm\u00ebri n\u00eb Iran, t\u00eb gjitha k\u00ebto projekte jan\u00eb n\u00ebn k\u00ebrc\u00ebnim.\u201dP\u00ebrtej rrezikut t\u00eb luft\u00ebs s\u00eb zgjatur dhe kaosit politik q\u00eb destabilizon mjedisin e biznesit, ekziston nj\u00eb arsye e thjesht\u00eb p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb: qeveria e ardhshme n\u00eb Iran mund t\u00eb mos jet\u00eb miq\u00ebsore me Rusin\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n N\u00eb janar, nd\u00ebrsa Putini shihte nj\u00eb kriz\u00eb t\u00eb ndryshme q\u00eb i ndodhte nj\u00eb aleati n\u00eb Venezuel\u00eb, profesori i Universitetit George Washington dhe eksperti i Rusis\u00eb p\u00ebr organizat\u00ebn k\u00ebrkimore CNA, Julian Waller, i tha<\/a> The Moscow Times se z\u00ebrat e fraksioneve skeptike ndaj Mosk\u00ebs n\u00eb Teheran mund t\u00eb gjejn\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetje m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe n\u00ebse Rusia q\u00ebndron duarkryq nd\u00ebrsa regjimi rr\u00ebzohet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u201cD\u00ebshtimi i Rusis\u00eb p\u00ebr ta mb\u00ebshtetur publikisht regjimin mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb pasoja t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme n\u00ebse regjimi mbijeton\u201d, tha ai n\u00eb at\u00eb koh\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Hanna Notte, drejtoresh\u00eb e Programit t\u00eb Mosp\u00ebrhapjes s\u00eb Arm\u00ebve t\u00eb Eurazis\u00eb n\u00eb Qendr\u00ebn James Martin p\u00ebr Studime t\u00eb Mosp\u00ebrhapjes, shkroi n\u00eb mediat sociale k\u00ebt\u00eb fundjav\u00eb se pyetje t\u00eb tilla mund t\u00eb lidhen me orientimin e vendit drejt Per\u00ebndimit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u201cInteresat e Rusis\u00eb n\u00eb\u2026 Iranin mund t\u00eb vuajn\u00eb\u201d, shkroi<\/a> Notte . \u201cSidomos n\u00ebse\u2026 kushdo q\u00eb vjen m\u00eb pas k\u00ebrkon marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnie m\u00eb pragmatike me Per\u00ebndimin.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u201cKjo ka qen\u00eb frika e hershme e Rusis\u00eb\u201d, tha ajo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ka disa p\u00ebrfitime p\u00ebr Rusin\u00eb nga sulmet e fundjav\u00ebs, por k\u00ebto ka t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb t\u00eb jen\u00eb afatshkurtra dhe t\u00eb kufizuara n\u00eb eksportet e naft\u00ebs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Nd\u00ebrsa d\u00ebmi ishte ende duke u vler\u00ebsuar n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb Iranin t\u00eb shtun\u00ebn, anijet q\u00eb lundronin n\u00eb Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit filluan<\/a> t\u00eb raportonin se autoritetet iraniane u kishin th\u00ebn\u00eb t\u00eb ktheheshin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Irani ende nuk ka njoftuar zyrtarisht ndonj\u00eb veprim n\u00eb Ngushtic\u00eb, p\u00ebrmes s\u00eb cil\u00ebs kalon rreth 20%<\/a> e trafikut global t\u00eb eksportit t\u00eb naft\u00ebs dhe gazit, por mbyllja e saj do t\u00eb shkaktonte tronditje n\u00eb tregje dhe do t\u00eb rriste \u00e7mimin e naft\u00ebs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n T\u00eb diel\u00ebn, an\u00ebtar\u00ebt e kartelit t\u00eb naft\u00ebs OPEC+ njoftuan<\/a> nj\u00eb rritje t\u00eb kuotave t\u00eb prodhimit q\u00eb do t\u00eb hyj\u00eb n\u00eb fuqi n\u00eb prill, por analist\u00ebt than\u00eb se rritja nuk do t\u00eb ishte aq e madhe sa t\u00eb kompensonte rritjen e pritur t\u00eb \u00e7mimeve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n K\u00ebto do t\u00eb ishin lajme t\u00eb mira p\u00ebr Rusin\u00eb, ekonomia e s\u00eb cil\u00ebs varet shum\u00eb nga t\u00eb ardhurat nga eksportet e naft\u00ebs dhe tenton t\u00eb p\u00ebrfitoj\u00eb nga \u00e7mimet m\u00eb t\u00eb larta t\u00eb naft\u00ebs n\u00eb tregun nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar. P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, Irani \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb nga furnizuesit m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdhenj t\u00eb naft\u00ebs n\u00eb Kin\u00eb, nj\u00eb treg n\u00eb t\u00eb cilin Rusia po p\u00ebrpiqet t\u00eb p\u00ebrparoj\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u201cRusia mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrfitoj\u00eb edhe n\u00eb afat t\u00eb shkurt\u00ebr\u201d, tha Smagin p\u00ebr potencialin p\u00ebr t\u00eb p\u00ebrfituar nga eksportet e vonuara t\u00eb naft\u00ebs iraniane. \u201cDhe ndoshta edhe k\u00ebto p\u00ebrfitime mund t\u00eb jen\u00eb v\u00ebrtet t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n Nj\u00eb fush\u00eb q\u00eb ekspert\u00ebt thon\u00eb se nuk ka gjasa t\u00eb l\u00ebkundet<\/a> \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrpjekja luftarake e Rusis\u00eb n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb. Moska e ka zhvendosur prodhimin e dron\u00ebve shkat\u00ebrrues Shahed, t\u00eb projektuar nga Irani, n\u00eb objektet vendase vitet e fundit, dhe r\u00ebnd\u00ebsia e importit t\u00eb arm\u00ebve ka r\u00ebn\u00eb nd\u00ebrsa prodhimi vendas p\u00ebr gj\u00ebra t\u00eb tilla si municionet dhe dron\u00ebt me pamje nga personi i par\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Duke marr\u00eb p\u00ebrsip\u00ebr d\u00ebmin k\u00ebt\u00eb fundjav\u00eb, Fyodor Lukyanov, nj\u00eb analist i shquar i politik\u00ebs s\u00eb jashtme rus, zgjodhi t\u00eb mos vler\u00ebsonte implikimet p\u00ebr Mosk\u00ebn, por n\u00eb vend t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj se si ky moment mund t\u00eb kishte efekt t\u00eb kund\u00ebrt p\u00ebr Uashingtonin dhe politik\u00ebn e tij n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u201cN\u00eb \u00e7do skenar, rajoni po hyn n\u00eb nj\u00eb faz\u00eb t\u00eb re trazirash q\u00eb do t\u00eb ket\u00eb jehon\u00eb t\u00eb gjer\u00eb n\u00eb zonat fqinje\u201d, shkroi<\/a> Lukyanov n\u00eb nj\u00eb artikull p\u00ebr revist\u00ebn \u201cRusia n\u00eb \u00c7\u00ebshtjet Globale\u201d. \u201cDhe kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb shenj\u00eb e keqe p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjith\u00eb.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n