Irani po p\u00ebrpiqet gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzoj\u00eb konfliktin me SHBA-n\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb p\u00ebrpjekje p\u00ebr t\u00eb thyer ng\u00ebr\u00e7in n\u00eb Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit q\u00eb po e mbyt ekonomin\u00eb e tij.T\u00eb pakt\u00ebn tre her\u00eb gjat\u00eb jav\u00ebs s\u00eb kaluar, forcat iraniane kan\u00eb q\u00eblluar me raketa anijet luftarake amerikane, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb nj\u00eb aeroplanmbajt\u00ebse, duke synuar drejtp\u00ebrdrejt Marin\u00ebn Amerikane n\u00eb nj\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb q\u00eb nuk e kan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb q\u00eb nga fillimi i luft\u00ebs. T\u00eb m\u00ebrkur\u00ebn, Irani q\u00eblloi gjithashtu nj\u00eb bresh\u00ebri t\u00eb madhe raketash drejt forcave amerikane t\u00eb stacionuara n\u00eb Jordani.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
P\u00ebrpjekjet p\u00ebr t\u00eb sulmuar anijet luftarake \u00e7uan n\u00eb situata shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb rrezikshme sesa p\u00ebrpjekjet e m\u00ebparshme, me Iranin q\u00eb p\u00ebrdorte koka b\u00ebrthamore t\u00eb afta p\u00ebr manovrim, than\u00eb njer\u00ebz t\u00eb njohur me sulmet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Anijet luftarake i shp\u00ebtuan sulmeve, njoftoi Komanda Qendrore e SHBA-s\u00eb, p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebse p\u00ebr Lindjen e Mesme. Megjithat\u00eb, sulmet po i shqet\u00ebsojn\u00eb gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb zyrtar\u00ebt amerikan\u00eb sepse ekziston mund\u00ebsia q\u00eb Irani t\u00eb ket\u00eb p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsuar aft\u00ebsin\u00eb e tij p\u00ebr t\u00eb goditur anijet, ndoshta me ndihm\u00ebn e Rusis\u00eb ose Kin\u00ebs, than\u00eb burimet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sulmet e shtyjn\u00eb luft\u00ebn n\u00eb nj\u00eb faz\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb rrezikshme. Nj\u00eb goditje nga nj\u00eb anije luftarake amerikane pothuajse me siguri do t\u00eb provokonte nj\u00eb p\u00ebrgjigje t\u00eb ashp\u00ebr t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb dhe mund t\u00eb \u00e7onte n\u00eb nj\u00eb shp\u00ebrthim t\u00eb ri t\u00eb luft\u00ebs totale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ky veprim p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebson nj\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzim t\u00eb konsideruesh\u00ebm t\u00eb sulmeve t\u00eb matura q\u00eb Irani ka kryer prej jav\u00ebsh kund\u00ebr anijeve tregtare n\u00eb Ngushtic\u00eb dhe objektivave m\u00eb pak t\u00eb ndjeshme amerikane n\u00eb Kuvajt, Bahrein dhe Jordani.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Irani vazhdoi t\u00eb sh\u00ebnjestroj\u00eb anijet luftarake amerikane edhe pasi SHBA-t\u00eb, n\u00eb p\u00ebrgjigje, sulmuan anijet cistern\u00eb iraniane.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Irani \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb m\u00eb agresiv nd\u00ebrsa presioni mbi ekonomin\u00eb e tij rritet. N\u00ebnt\u00ebmb\u00ebdhjet\u00eb anije luftarake amerikane po zbatojn\u00eb nj\u00eb bllokad\u00eb q\u00eb ka ndaluar eksportet e naft\u00ebs. Sanksionet e reja t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb kan\u00eb d\u00ebmtuar financat e Teheranit, duke shkaktuar r\u00ebnien e monedh\u00ebs s\u00eb tij, nd\u00ebrsa Irani \u00ebsht\u00eb detyruar t\u00eb ul\u00eb subvencionet e karburantit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cIrani po p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzon situat\u00ebn sepse nuk sheh mund\u00ebsi t\u00eb tjera. Ata jan\u00eb n\u00ebn nj\u00eb presion t\u00eb madh p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb bllokad\u00ebs dhe sanksioneve t\u00eb reja\u201d, tha Marc Sievers, ish-ambasadori i SHBA-s\u00eb n\u00eb Oman, i cili ndodhet matan\u00eb Ngushtic\u00ebs s\u00eb Hormuzit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
P\u00ebr Teheranin, q\u00ebllimi nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb aq shum\u00eb t\u00eb rivalizoj\u00eb fuqin\u00eb ushtarake amerikane, sesa ta b\u00ebj\u00eb status quo-n\u00eb aktuale t\u00eb paq\u00ebndrueshme, thon\u00eb analist\u00ebt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Uashingtoni mund t\u00eb shkat\u00ebrroj\u00eb raketat l\u00ebshuese dhe t\u00eb pastroj\u00eb minat, por k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimet e Teheranit ndaj anijeve luftarake dhe trafikut detar kan\u00eb p\u00ebr q\u00ebllim ta detyrojn\u00eb SHBA-n\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrdor\u00eb rezervat e saj n\u00eb r\u00ebnie t\u00eb interceptor\u00ebve t\u00eb raketave p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbrojtur forcat e saj, si dhe t\u00eb rivler\u00ebsoj\u00eb koston e nj\u00eb hakmarrjeje t\u00eb mundshme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Irani kreu sulme ndaj anijeve luftarake duke p\u00ebrdorur raketa balistike me rreze t\u00eb mesme veprimi, t\u00eb cilat udh\u00ebtojn\u00eb qindra kilometra me shpejt\u00ebsi jasht\u00ebzakonisht t\u00eb larta dhe u q\u00eblluan nga vende t\u00eb ndryshme brenda Iranit, than\u00eb njer\u00ebz t\u00eb njohur me sulmet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Raketat jan\u00eb t\u00eb pajisura me teknologji t\u00eb p\u00ebrparuar dhe jan\u00eb t\u00eb afta t\u00eb manovrojn\u00eb n\u00eb fluturim drejt objektivave n\u00eb l\u00ebvizje, duke i b\u00ebr\u00eb ato nj\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnim m\u00eb t\u00eb madh se arm\u00ebt e tjera iraniane, than\u00eb burimet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Irani mund ta shoh\u00eb p\u00ebrfitimin edhe n\u00eb rreziqet q\u00eb do t\u00eb shoq\u00ebronin nj\u00eb sulm t\u00eb suksessh\u00ebm ndaj nj\u00eb anijeje luftarake amerikane, tha Alice Gower, nj\u00eb partnere n\u00eb kompanin\u00eb e konsulenc\u00ebs p\u00ebr rreziqet politike Azure Strategy me seli n\u00eb Lond\u00ebr. D\u00ebmi ndaj anijes amerikane mund t\u00eb trazoj\u00eb tregjet dhe shtetet e Gjirit, nd\u00ebrsa e detyron Presidentin Donald Trump t\u00eb zgjedh\u00eb midis hakmarrjes s\u00eb kushtueshme dhe rrezikut t\u00eb veprimit t\u00eb dob\u00ebt p\u00ebrpara zgjedhjeve t\u00eb mesit t\u00eb mandatit p\u00ebr n\u00eb Kongres.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
“N\u00eb t\u00eb dyja rastet, Irani sheh disa p\u00ebrfitime,” tha ajo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ish-zyrtar\u00eb dhe analist\u00eb thon\u00eb se sulmet nuk ka gjasa t\u00eb ndikojn\u00eb n\u00eb forc\u00ebn e bllokad\u00ebs amerikane, e cila mund t\u00eb hiqet nga Irani pa rrezikuar efektivitetin e saj.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
“Sigurisht q\u00eb mbrojtja e anijeve \u00ebsht\u00eb \u00e7\u00ebshtja kryesore. Ne mund t’i zhvendosim anijet tona m\u00eb tej n\u00ebse mendojm\u00eb se ato jan\u00eb n\u00eb ndonj\u00eb rrezik dhe prap\u00eb e mbajm\u00eb bllokad\u00ebn”, tha z\u00ebvend\u00ebsadmirali n\u00eb pension John Miller, i cili komandonte forcat detare amerikane n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Nj\u00eb raund i ri konflikti filloi n\u00eb fund t\u00eb gushtit, kur forcat amerikane sulmuan objektiva iraniane pasi Teherani u p\u00ebrpoq t\u00eb vendoste mina n\u00eb Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit. Irani u hakmor me sulme ndaj forcave dhe anijeve cistern\u00eb t\u00eb naft\u00ebs amerikane.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sulmet e rip\u00ebrt\u00ebrira kan\u00eb nd\u00ebrprer\u00eb nj\u00eb muaj qet\u00ebsie relative n\u00eb konflikt, kan\u00eb shkaktuar rritjen marramend\u00ebse t\u00eb \u00e7mimeve t\u00eb naft\u00ebs dhe kan\u00eb rritur rrezikun e p\u00ebrfshirjes s\u00eb shteteve rajonale m\u00eb thell\u00eb n\u00eb konflikt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
T\u00eb m\u00ebrkur\u00ebn, Operacionet Tregtare Detare t\u00eb Mbret\u00ebris\u00eb s\u00eb Bashkuar (UKMTO), e cila \u00ebsht\u00eb e lidhur me Marin\u00ebn Mbret\u00ebrore t\u00eb Britanis\u00eb, tha se kishte marr\u00eb raportime p\u00ebr sulme ndaj disa anijeve tregtare n\u00eb Gjirin Persik dhe Gjirin e Omanit, t\u00eb vendosura n\u00eb t\u00eb dy an\u00ebt e ngushtic\u00ebs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Teherani tha se do t\u00eb vepronte kund\u00ebr k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimeve dhe njoftoi planet p\u00ebr t\u00eb krijuar nj\u00eb “zon\u00eb t\u00eb re p\u00ebrjashtimi” rreth afrimit me Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit, ku Irani do t\u00eb p\u00ebrpiqej t\u00eb kufizonte trafikun detar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
“Kjo betej\u00eb do t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb”, than\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebrkur\u00ebn Garda Revolucionare e Iranit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ka gjithashtu shenja t\u00eb qarta se presioni ekonomik po rritet, duke e nxitur Iranin t\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzoj\u00eb situat\u00ebn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Bllokada detare amerikane ka penguar eksportet e naft\u00ebs s\u00eb Iranit nga Gjiri Persik, dhe furnizimet n\u00eb det t\u00eb hapur t\u00eb Teheranit t\u00eb destinuara p\u00ebr Kin\u00ebn po pak\u00ebsohen me shpejt\u00ebsi. Sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb gjurmimit t\u00eb anijeve Kpler, asnj\u00eb d\u00ebrges\u00eb e naft\u00ebs bruto iraniane nuk ka kaluar n\u00ebp\u00ebr bllokad\u00eb q\u00eb kur Marina Amerikane e rivendosi at\u00eb n\u00eb mesin e korrikut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Presioni po e privon Teheranin nga burimi i tij kryesor i valut\u00ebs s\u00eb huaj dhe po e p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebson m\u00eb tej kriz\u00ebn ekonomike, nd\u00ebrsa vlera e rialit iranian po bie dhe inflacioni vjetor tejkalon 80 p\u00ebrqind. Fondi Monetar Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar parashikon nj\u00eb tkurrje prej 5.4 p\u00ebrqind t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb s\u00eb Iranit k\u00ebt\u00eb vit, q\u00eb do t\u00eb ishte rezultati m\u00eb i keq q\u00eb nga vitet 1980.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, vendet e tjera prodhuese t\u00eb naft\u00ebs n\u00eb Gjirin Persik vazhduan t\u00eb eksportonin sasi t\u00eb konsiderueshme pavar\u00ebsisht konfliktit. SHBA-t\u00eb kalojn\u00eb konvoje p\u00ebrmes Ngushtic\u00ebs s\u00eb Hormuzit, nd\u00ebrsa Arabia Saudite dhe Emiratet e Bashkuara Arabe devijojn\u00eb v\u00ebllime t\u00eb m\u00ebdha t\u00eb naft\u00ebs bruto p\u00ebrmes tubacioneve q\u00eb anashkalojn\u00eb rrug\u00ebn ujore.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb arsyeja pse Ngushtica e Hormuzit \u00ebsht\u00eb edhe m\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme p\u00ebr iranian\u00ebt e linj\u00ebs s\u00eb ashp\u00ebr. N\u00ebse ata humbasin aft\u00ebsin\u00eb e tyre tashm\u00eb t\u00eb dob\u00ebsuar p\u00ebr t\u00eb nd\u00ebrprer\u00eb trafikun p\u00ebrmes k\u00ebsaj rruge ujore, ata do t\u00eb humbasin nj\u00eb nga m\u00ebnyrat e pakta t\u00eb mbetura p\u00ebr t\u00eb imponuar kosto mbi SHBA-n\u00eb dhe partner\u00ebt e saj rajonal\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ruajtja e aft\u00ebsis\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnuar ngushtic\u00ebn, si dhe e forcave ushtarake amerikane t\u00eb nevojshme p\u00ebr ta mbrojtur at\u00eb, mbetet kritike p\u00ebr strategjin\u00eb ushtarake t\u00eb Iranit, por edhe p\u00ebr pozicionin e tij negociues n\u00eb \u00e7do negociat\u00eb t\u00eb ardhshme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
“Hormuzi \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb shqet\u00ebsim i menj\u00ebhersh\u00ebm dhe nj\u00eb fush\u00eb beteje e madhe, por \u00ebsht\u00eb gjithashtu edhe ndikimi m\u00eb i madh q\u00eb ka Teherani. Nuk do t\u00eb dor\u00ebzohet leht\u00eb. \u00cbsht\u00eb xhevahiri n\u00eb kuror\u00ebn e tij”, tha Gower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Dinamika t\u00eb tilla rrisin gjithashtu rrezikun e zhytjes s\u00eb vendeve t\u00eb Gjirit m\u00eb thell\u00eb n\u00eb konflikt, nd\u00ebrsa ato vuajn\u00eb kosto gjithnj\u00eb e n\u00eb rritje ekonomike dhe t\u00eb siguris\u00eb nga konfliktet q\u00eb po p\u00ebrpiqen t\u00eb shmangin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
“Sa m\u00eb shum\u00eb q\u00eb Uashingtoni sulmon eksportet e energjis\u00eb s\u00eb Iranit, aq m\u00eb i madh \u00ebsht\u00eb nxitja q\u00eb Irani t\u00eb ndiej\u00eb pasojat e konfliktit p\u00ebrtej kufijve t\u00eb vet”, tha Gower.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Irani po p\u00ebrpiqet gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzoj\u00eb konfliktin me SHBA-n\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb p\u00ebrpjekje p\u00ebr t\u00eb thyer ng\u00ebr\u00e7in n\u00eb Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit q\u00eb po e mbyt ekonomin\u00eb e tij.T\u00eb pakt\u00ebn tre her\u00eb gjat\u00eb jav\u00ebs s\u00eb kaluar, forcat iraniane kan\u00eb q\u00eblluar me raketa anijet luftarake amerikane, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb nj\u00eb aeroplanmbajt\u00ebse, duke synuar drejtp\u00ebrdrejt Marin\u00ebn Amerikane n\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":31800,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[33,30],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31799","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bote","category-lajme"],"yoast_head":"\n